Computers: Servants or Masters?
Computers help us to be (or appear to be) smarter. Of
course, they (1) help us to count and calculate faster. They also (2) expand
our capacity to remember. Even when they seem to make us lazy about having to
memorize facts, there is no denying they give us rapid access to what we, and
the rest of humanity, have recorded. Further, digital technology helps us to
rapidly (3) find, connect to and communicate with distant people. The
equivalent of Dick Tracy’s wrist communicator is now widely available. My goodness.
All three of the above are examples of “external human augmentation.”
My former career was heavily involved with all manner of computers, from
micro-controllers in instruments to IBM mainframes. Now, in an era of “big
data,” computers are combing through unimaginably large pools of information to
predict business opportunities, invent undiscovered chemical reactions and
recognize patterns of weather, disease, and crime. Computers predict the kinds
of advertisements that will make us pause and look. They can build custom
products to our specifications and translate any web page into dozens of
languages.
In 1986, I discovered the article, “Computing as a Tool for Human
Augmentation” by W. J. Doherty and W. G. Pope in the IBM Systems Journal.
They pointed out that,
“The IBM
Thomas J. Watson Research Center in Yorktown, New York, has experienced a
factor of twenty times increase in the past ten years in the amount of time its
people spend using computers interactively in their work. This is twice the
penetration rate of television in the 1950s. A similar degree of penetration is
expected to happen in the rest of industry in the next ten years.” Boy, were
they right.
We’ve clearly gotten used to computers augmenting our
capacities. In some ways, technology has given us super-human abilities.
Smart-phone apps can predict that you are about to be hungry, remember your
favorite kinds of food, search in an unfamiliar neighborhood, and recommend a
restaurant you will like… or find restaurants that people like those in your
social networks have recommended.
Most of us have gotten quite dependent on our computer
applications, as well. People habitually use GPS devices to find their way
while driving. Now, people are even beginning to attach computer displays to
their eyeglasses and researchers are working to put displays into contact
lenses.
Pieces of large self-guided farm equipment already use GPS
to drive in straight lines across fields. Automobile manufacturers are almost
ready to make car-to-car communication and automation a standard feature. Inevitably,
we will be riding in self-driving transport robots.
Several states and countries are creating standards, writing
regulations and running experimental trials for self-driving vehicles. It’s
already obvious they will be safer. We can expect to rent rides in vehicles
with no steering wheels that show up when you want them. Their costs will be
amortized across a large number of users rather than a single owner. When not needed,
they can wander off to slurp up an electrical recharge or park themselves out
of the way.
As with every technology, there will be issues of roll-out,
shake-out, resistance, adaptation and acceptance. These are well-known and
well-understood issues of change management. Change happens.
Researchers are now investigating the best ways to mix robot
and human workers. The robots don’t seem to care too much, but humans prefer
that the robots seem to be polite and do most of the repetitive and
uncomfortable tasks. In fact, humans even seem to prefer that automated systems
tell them what to do next when a computer’s efficiency algorithms exceed a
human worker’s planning capacity.
People are also demonstrating they prefer a sufficiently
talented robotic companion to being alone. They will sometimes confess their
anxieties and health conditions more readily to an automated analyst- or
nurse-proxy. They will sometimes trust the judgment of a diagnostic system that
has permanent access to libraries of medical data over a haphazard consultation
with a harried and hurried live doctor.
I don’t expect that, in the end, either robots or humans
will fall solidly into the categories of servants or masters. Computers and
robots will be our collaborators. They will be used increasingly in tasks that
are too hazardous, annoying or complicated for most people. It will be a
strange dance and a wild ride but, typically, most of us eventually accept and
embrace new convenience technology.
David Satterlee
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